Error assessment in decision-tree models applied to vegetation analysis

Methods were developed to evaluate the performance of a decision-tree model used to predict landscape-level patterns of potential forest vegetation in central New York State. The model integrated environmental databases and knowledge on distribution of vegetation. Soil and terrain decision-tree variables were derived by processing state-wide soil geographic databases and digital terrain data. Variables used as model inputs were soil parent material, soil drainage, soil acidity, slope position, slope gradient, and slope azimuth. Landscapescale maps of potential vegetation were derived through sequential map overlay operations using a geographic information system (GIS). A verification sample of 276 field plots was analyzed to determine: (1) agreement between GIS-derived estimates of decision-tree variables and direct field measurements, (2) agreement between vegetation distributions predicted using GIS-derived estimates and using field observations, (3) effect of misclassification costs on prediction agreement, (4) influence of particular environmental variables on model predictions, and (5) misclassification rates of the decision-tree model. Results indicate that the prediction model was most sensitive to drainage and slope gradient, and that the imprecision of the input data led to a high frequency of incorrect predictions of vegetation. However, in many cases of misclassification the predicted vegetation was similar to that of the field plots so that the cost of errors was less than expected from the misclassification rate alone. Moreover, since common vegetation types were more accurately predicted than rare types, the model appears to be reasonably good at predicting vegetation for a randomly selected plot in the landscape. The error assessment methodology developed for this study provides a useful approach for determining the accuracy and sensitivity of landscape-scale environmental models, and indicates the need to develop appropriate field sampling procedures for verifying the predictions of such models.     

Whole blood re-calcification time in equine colic

Whole blood re-calcification times were evaluated as a measure of endotoxin-associated coagulopathy in horses. First, the effects of endotoxin concentration and duration of in vitro incubation of citrated whole blood with endotoxin on the whole blood re-calcification time of blood collected from healthy horses were determined. Increasing concentrations or incubation times of endotoxin accelerated the whole blood re-calcification time. This effect was attributed mainly to increased monocyte thromboplastin activity. Second, whole blood re-calcification time, a clotting profile, plasma factor VII activity and plasma endotoxin concentration on blood samples obtained from 35 equine colic patients and 10 healthy horses were determined. Compared with healthy horses, colic patients had a longer mean whole blood re-calcification and prothrombin time, lower per cent factor VII activity and higher mean fibrin degradation products concentration. Within the colic patient group, horses that did not survive had detectable endotoxin in plasma, longer whole blood re-calcification and prothrombin times, and lower plasma factor VII activity, compared with colic patients that survived. These data indicate that colic patients with endotoxaemia experience hypercoagulable states, followed by consumptive coagulopathy. Although the cause of endotoxin-associated coagulopathy is likely multi-factorial, increased expression of monocyte thromboplastin activity may be involved in the pathogenesis of coagulopathy. The whole blood recalcification time is a simple, fast and inexpensive way to detect coagulopathy during endotoxaemia and determine the prognosis for survival.     

Surgical treatment of sacral fracture in a horse

An 8-year-old Arabian stallion had signs of severe tailhead pruritus and slowly progressive loss of tail tone for 3 months. Palpation per rectum and radiography of the sacrocaudal region revealed a transverse, ventrally displaced fracture of the caudal portion of the sacrum. Surgical decompression and tail amputation resulted in complete recovery of athletic and reproductive function. Evidence of cauda equina neuritis was not seen on histologic examination of nerve roots obtained at surgery.     

Clinical relevance of monocyte procoagulant activity in horses with colic

Endotoxin-activated monocytes express a thromboplastin-like procoagulant activity on the cell surface that may serve as a focal point for formation of microvascular thrombi. Because coagulopathy is a common sequela to endotoxemia in the equine species, we investigated the ability of monocytes, isolated from horses with colic, to express procoagulant activity. On the day of admission, and on the third and fifth day of hospitalization, monocytes were isolated from 30 adult horses with colic. A coagulation profile, including prothrombin time, activated partial thromboplastin time, thrombin time, and plasma fibrinogen and serum fibrin degradation products concentrations, was determined at each sample collection. The concentration of endotoxin in the plasma was quantitated at the time of admission. Ten clinically normal adult horses served as controls. The procoagulant activity of monocytes isolated from horses with colic was significantly (P less than 0.05) greater than that of the monocytes isolated from clinically normal horses. On the first and third day of hospitalization, the mean prothrombin time was significantly (P less than 0.05) longer in horses with colic, compared with clinically normal horses, and was the most common abnormality in the coagulation profile on the day of admission (25/30; 83%). Mean fibrin degradation products concentration was significantly (P less than 0.05) greater in horses with colic on the day of admission and was the second most common abnormality in the coagulation profile on day 1 (23/30; 77%). In horses with colic, the mean prothrombin and activated partial thromboplastin times were significantly (P less than 0.05) longer in horses that did not survive, compared with horses that survived.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

A Comparison of Seitz and Millipore Membrane Filters for the Enumeration of Fecal Coliforms

In a comparison of two commonly used membrane filters for enumerating fecal coliform bacteria it was demonstrated that Seitz type M filters recovered statistically more colonies of bacteria than did Millipore HAWG 047S1 filters from pure cultures of Escherichia coli incubated at 44 °C. The membranes were grown on 0.4 % Teepol agar. On incubation at 37°C no significant discrepancy was found. As a reference method was used pour plating in plate count agar (Difco). It was demonstrated that incubation at 44°C did not per se inhibit propagation of fecal coliforms. Both types of filters examined were sterilized by the manufacturers with ethylene oxide. The discrepancy found can therefore not be due to sterilization procedures.     

Radiographic development of canine hip dysplasia.

The radiographic changes observed in the development of CHD in the dog are complex and not fully understood despite years of research. Moderate to severe CHD is relatively easy to diagnose using standard radiographic views and evaluation techniques. However, early detection of mild or borderline CHD continues to be difficult to reliably detect radiographically. Efforts continue to be made to develop new views, techniques, and evaluation methods that will improve the radiographic evaluation of CHD. Until better methods are proven, the standard ventrodorsal leg extended view, evaluated by an experienced reviewer, will remain the method of choice for radiographic detection of CHD.     

Genetic relatedness of disease-associated field isolates of bovid herpesvirus type 4

Eight field isolates of bovid herpesvirus type 4 (BHV-4) were examined by restriction analysis and Southern blot hybridization with respect to their relatedness to one another and to the BHV-4 prototype strain DN-599. Isolates were obtained from cattle exhibiting a range of disease states including abortion, pneumonia, enteritis, metritis, and vaginal blisters. Initial growth studies of all 9 viruses were performed and revealed that the overall rate of virus growth was slow when compared with that of other herpesviruses. Infection with each virus also resulted in the formation of large fused cells, which in addition to the slow growth rate, indicated that the isolates were of the cytomegalovirus type. Further studies to characterize and compare the various BHV-4 isolates were undertaken by obtaining cell-free virus from infected cell populations. Viral isolates were purified and used as a source of BHV-4 DNA. Purified DNA, representing each of the 8 field isolates and the prototype strain DN-599, were each cleaved with 3 restriction enzymes and were separated by agarose-gel electrophoresis, and the resultant fragment patterns were compared. In general, genomic fragments of the field isolates corresponded to those generated by cleavage of DN-599 DNA, with the exception of the abortion-associated isolate 83-3572. Additional minor differences were also seen between DN-599 DNA and DNA from the other field isolates, but the overall restriction patterns were similar. To confirm that all isolates were members of the BHV-4 type, hybridization studies were performed using DN-599.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

2-anilino-3-methylbutyrates and 2-(isoindolin-2-yl)-3-methylbutyrates,two novel groups of synthetic pyrethroid esters not containing a cyclopropane ring

A new series of substituted 2-anilino-3-methylbutyrates has been prepared; bioassay data for these compounds on Heliothis virescens, Musca domestica, Aphis fabae and Tetranychus urticae are presented and discussed. Some unexpected relationships were observed between the nature of the substituents and the biological activity. Increases in foliar stability were noted with certain substitution patterns. Both α-cyano-3-phenoxybenzyl 3-methyl-2-(α, α, α,2-tetrafluoro-p-toluidino)butyrate and the corresponding 2-(2-chloro-α, α, α-trifluoro-p-toluidino)-3-methylbutyrate showed good stability in air and light, and exhibited biological activities of a similar nature and potency to those of previously known synthetic pyrethroids. Esters of the (R)-2- anilino-3-methylbutyric acids are far more active than those prepared from the (S)-enantiomers. The (R)-configuration at C-2 in these acids is sterically equivalent to the active absolute configuration at the chiral carbon α to the carboxylate group in both the permethrin and the fenvalerate types of pyrethroids. A new class of insecticidal 2-(isoindolin-2-yl)alkanoates is also reported. In this series the most biologically active analogue was α-cyano-3-phenoxybenzyl 3-methyl-2-(4,5,6,7-tetrafluoroisoindolin-2-yl)butyrate. These esters were considerably less stable than the anilino analogues on exposure to air and light.